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Tuesday, November 18, 2008


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Provisional Truth  |  Book Reviews  |  August 2006

  The Long Emergency:  Surviving the Converging Catastrophes of the Twenty-First Century
 
 by James Howard Kunstler, April 2005

In a straightforward, logical, non-hysterical manner, author James Howard Kunstler puts forth the distinct possibility of a century of radical change in America and the world as we come to grips with a post-petroleum-era future which he has christened The Long Emergency.

Over a period of decades – hence the long emergency – Kunstler envisions the demise of our automobile-dependent society as a finite supply of petroleum becomes too expensive and rare for ordinary citizens and becomes the catalyst for sweeping changes in almost every human endeavor.

Gone will be the freedom of travel at will enjoyed by most Americans – not only business and vacation travel, but also the hop-in-the-car trips to the grocery store, shopping mall, sports stadium and children's activities that we so take for granted.

Kunstler predicts the end not only of the expansive, suburban lifestyle that has been made possible for us from inexpensive gasoline, but also the end of all manner of activities from mass farming to manufacturing to healthcare to education.

Life will become much more local, rendering the big city metropolis lifestyle dangerous and obsolete. Smaller towns and villages will thrive as their inhabitants relearn the skills of growing food by hand (and horse) and making useful things like furniture, home accessories and tools.

Gone will be the big-box discount stores and shopping malls full of cheap goods imported from China. Kunstler's long emergency will be most evident in America, which nearly alone in the world has evolved a free-wheeling (literally) lifestyle based on petroleum, sprawling suburban tract neighborhoods and a dearth of public transportation.

And in a thorough evaluation, the author discusses how the long emergency will impact different regions of the country. Best suited for life in and after the long emergency: the northeast and parts of the midwest with abundant sources of water both for living needs and energy.

Hydroelectric and hydromotive power will underpin the cottage industries that will spring up to fill the void left by the demise of our petroleum-based economy.

I found most fascinating the concept of life without much – or any – petroleum. Gone, for example, will be the fresh-flown-in-daily fish and seafood at grocery stores. In fact, most large chain grocery stores will disappear, and smaller independent stores selling mostly locally produced farm goods.

Gone will be nearly all imported retail merchandise that no longer can be sailed or flown to U.S. ports, then trucked across the nation.

Of greatest concern to the author is our complacency.

Not only do we not want to think about such a radical alteration of our lifestyle, and the impact on our children and future generations, we pointedly choose not to worry about such matters because we have been deluded into thinking that sheer American ingenuity will invent or create something that will replace petroleum as our primary source of energy.

That misguided belief, at all levels of our society, will prevent us from truly addressing – now – the potential problems we will face in the long emergency.

 

  What Others Are Saying About The Long Emergency at Amazon.com.


 

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     Once we thought the
        earth was flat -
     What of that?

     It was just as globos then
     Under believing men

      As our later folks have
        found it,
     By success in running
        round it;

     What we think may
        guide our acts,
     But it does not alter facts.

   Charlotte Perkins Gilman
            (1860-1935)

 

 

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